Use spreadsheet for analysis

From Entry price at Trade Time, if price hit Stop loss first = Wrong. If price hit minimum Take profit first = Right.

Assuming a pure guess is probability 0.5, like flip an unbiased coin and guess whether it lands head or tail.

Past trades

September to November 2024 - Right=7, Wrong=16

November 2024 - Right=3, Wrong=5

GBP/USD, Sell, 04:00 UTC/GMT Thursday 28 November 2024 - Wrong

GBP/USD, Buy, 04:00 UTC/GMT Tuesday 26 November 2024 - Right

GBP/USD, Buy, 04:00 UTC/GMT Thursday 21 November 2024 - Wrong

GBP/USD, Sell, 04:00 UTC/GMT Tuesday 19 November 2024 - Right

GBP/USD, Buy, 04:00 UTC/GMT Thursday 14 November 2024 - Wrong

GBP/USD, Buy, 04:00 UTC/GMT Tuesday 12 November 2024 - Wrong

GBP/USD, Sell, 04:00 UTC/GMT Thursday 7 November 2024 - Wrong

GBP/USD, Buy, 04:00 UTC/GMT Tuesday 5 November 2024 - Right


October 2024 - Right=2, Wrong=7

GBP/USD, Sell, 04:00 UTC/GMT Thursday 31 October 2024 - Wrong

GBP/USD, Sell, 04:00 UTC/GMT Tuesday 29 October 2024 - Wrong

GBP/USD, Sell, 04:00 UTC/GMT Thursday 24 October 2024 - Wrong

GBP/USD, Sell, 04:00 UTC/GMT Tuesday 22 October 2024 - Right

GBP/USD, Buy, 04:00 UTC/GMT Thursday 17 October 2024 - Right

GBP/USD, Sell, 04:00 UTC/GMT Tuesday 15 October 2024 - Wrong

GBP/USD, Buy, 04:00 UTC/GMT Tuesday 8 October 2024 - Wrong

GBP/USD, Buy, 04:00 UTC/GMT Thursday 3 October 2024 - Wrong

GBP/USD, Buy, 04:00 UTC/GMT Tuesday 1 October 2024 - Wrong


September 2024 - Right=2, Wrong=4

GBP/USD, Buy, 04:00 UTC/GMT Thursday 26 September 2024 - Right

GBP/USD, Sell, 04:00 UTC/GMT Tuesday 24 September 2024 - Wrong

GBP/USD, Sell, 04:00 UTC/GMT Thursday 19 September 2024 - Wrong

GBP/USD, Sell, 04:00 UTC/GMT Tuesday 17 September 2024 - Wrong

GBP/USD, Sell, 04:00 UTC/GMT Thursday 12 September 2024 - Wrong

GBP/USD, Buy, 04:00 UTC/GMT Tuesday 10 September 2024 - Right







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